Sabasports Match Preview
Bundesliga: Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig
Kickoff Time: 2025-10-04 21:30 (HKT)
Source: REUTERS/Leon Kuegeler
Borussia Dortmund has had an impressive start to the new season, achieving a record of six wins and two draws despite competing on multiple tournaments. In the midweek Champions League match, they secured a resounding 4-1 victory over the La Liga powerhouse Athletic Club, showcasing their excellent form. After five league matches, center-forward Serhou Guirassy has already scored four goals, establishing himself as the key player in the attack. Additionally, winger Karim Adeyemi has contributed two goals and one assist, while attacking midfielder Julian Brandt has recorded one goal and two assists. After gelling last season, these three players have formed a cohesive and formidable attacking trio for Dortmund. According to season statistics, Dortmund averages 59% possession per game with an 88% pass success rate, both ranking second in the league. This demonstrates the team’s commitment to a possession-based strategy, which effectively alleviates pressure on the defense. In their last four league matches, Dortmund has kept clean sheets, conceding only three goals so far, making them one of the teams with the fewest goals conceded in the league.
This season, RB Leipzig is in a rebuilding phase, having sold key forwards such as Benjamin Sesko, Xavi Simons, and Lois Openda. These three players collectively contributed 32 league goals last season, accounting for 47% of the team’s total goals. Although RB Leipzig has recorded four wins and one loss this season, their performances have been less convincing. They narrowly secured one-goal victories against weaker teams like Wolfsburg and Mainz 05 away from home, while suffering a heavy six-goal defeat in a top-tier clash against Bayern Munich. Newly signed forwards Conrad Harder and Yan Diomande have yet to adapt to the pace of the Bundesliga, failing to register any goals or assists so far. Conrad Harder, in particular, has only played 45 minutes, a performance that falls short of expectations given his €24 million transfer fee. Statistically, RB Leipzig averages 11.6 successful dribbles per game, ranking first in the league. However, the team’s main issue is their inability to convert chances created from wing breakthroughs into goals. In the last league match, for instance, RB Leipzig took 20 shots, with six on target, but managed to score only one goal. This inefficient shot conversion rate puts them at a disadvantage in high-stakes matches. So far, RB Leipzig has scored only seven league goals, the fewest among the top 10 teams in the Bundesliga.
Currently, Borussia Dortmund is on an eight-match home winning streak across seasons, with both their offense and defense in peak form. In contrast, RB Leipzig’s attacking struggles are evident. This matchup can be described as Dortmund having the strongest shield, while RB Leipzig possesses the weakest spear. In this encounter, Borussia Dortmund is unlikely to miss the opportunity to secure all three points.
Borussia Dortmund‘s Last 5 Games: XXXXX
25-10-02 Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Athletic Club
25-09-27 Mainz 05 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
25-08-22 Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
25-09-17 Juventus 4-4 Borussia Dortmund
25-09-13 FC Heidenheim 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig’s Last 5 Games: WWWWL
25-09-27 Wolfsburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
25-09-21 RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Cologne
25-09-13 Mainz 05 0-1 RB Leipzig
25-08-30 RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Heidenheim
25-08-23 Bayern Munich 6-0 RB Leipzig
Head-To-Head Record
25-03-16 RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund
24-11-03 Borussia Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
24-04-27 RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia Dortmund
23-12-10 Borussia Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig
23-04-06 RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win