Sabasports Match Preview
Bundesliga: Hamburg SV vs Borussia Dortmund
Kickoff Time: 2025-11-08 22:30 (HKT)
Source: REUTERS/Phil Noble
Hamburg SV was the runner-up in last season’s 2. Bundesliga. Although they retained their main squad, limited financial resources and insufficient summer signings have left them uncompetitive in the Bundesliga. Currently, Hamburg has a record of two wins, two draws, and five losses, sitting just two points above the relegation zone and already facing pressure to avoid relegation. Analyzing their season trend, the main issue lies in their lack of sharpness in attack. After nine league matches, Hamburg has managed only eight goals, the lowest in the Bundesliga. Their top scorer, Rayan Philippe, has contributed three goals, but his last league goal dates back to October 5th, indicating he is currently not in top form. Compounding their problems, the team is severely affected by injuries and suspensions. Key midfielder Nicolas Capaldo and main central defender Warmed Omari are both on the injury list with uncertain return dates. Meanwhile, starting attacking midfielder Fabio Vieira and substitute Immanuel Pherai are both suspended due to red cards, making it impossible for Hamburg to field their strongest lineup.
Borussia Dortmund finished fourth in last season’s Bundesliga. Although affected by multiple competitions this season, they have maintained stable league performance, currently with six wins, two draws, and only one loss. During this period, they have conceded just six goals, the second fewest in the Bundesliga, only behind leaders Bayern Munich’s four goals. Their solid defense has established them as strong contenders for next season’s Champions League qualification. In terms of seasonal performance, Guinean international Serhou Guirassy has been consistent, contributing five goals and one assist in the league. In the last league match, it was Guirassy’s crucial goal that secured Dortmund’s victory over Augsburg. Statistically, Dortmund averages 56% possession per game with an 86% pass success rate, both ranking third in the league. They also complete an average of 7.4 dribbles per game, ranking fourth in the league. This demonstrates that under coach Niko Kovac, Dortmund exhibits tactical characteristics focused on ball possession and wing penetration.
There is already a clear gap in quality between the two teams. Hamburg’s defense, built on a 2. Bundesliga foundation, may struggle to withstand Dortmund’s relentless attacks. With Hamburg further hampered by injuries and suspensions, the disparity in strength between the two sides has widened even more. In this encounter, Borussia Dortmund, with their superior quality, is expected to secure a comfortable victory.
Hamburg SV‘s Last 5 Games: LWLLW
25-11-02 FC Cologne 4-1 Hamburg SV
25-10-29 FC Heidenheim 0-1 Hamburg SV
25-10-25 Hamburg SV 0-1 Wolfsburg
25-10-18 RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburg SV
25-10-05 Hamburg SV 4-0 Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund‘s Last 5 Games: LWDWW
25-11-06 Manchester City 4-1 Borussia Dortmund
25-11-01 Augsburg 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
25-10-29 Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia Dortmund (ET 0-0, PEN 2-4)
25-10-26 Borussia Dortmund 1-0 FC Cologne
25-10-22 FC Copenhagen 2-4 Borussia Dortmund
Head-To-Head Record
18-02-10 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
17-09-21 Hamburg SV 0-3 Borussia Dortmund
17-04-05 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Hamburg SV
16-11-05 Hamburg SV 2-5 Borussia Dortmund
16-04-17 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Hamburg SV
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win