Sabasports Match Preview
Serie A: AC Milan vs Fiorentina
Kickoff Time: 2025-10-20 02:45 (HKT)
Source: REUTERS/ Daniele Mascolo
After a sluggish start to the season, AC Milan has gradually found its form, securing four wins and one draw in their last five league matches. During this period, they defeated last season’s Serie A champions Napoli and held last season’s fourth-placed team Juventus to a draw, demonstrating convincing performances. Summer signing Luka Modric has integrated into the team’s tactical system, contributing one goal and one assist, while American forward Christian Pulisic has emerged as a key player with four goals and two assists. In their recent match against Juventus, although playing away, AC Milan dominated possession, registering 13 shots and achieving a pass accuracy rate of 89.5%. Had Pulisic not missed a penalty, AC Milan might have secured all three points. Since Modrić‘s arrival, AC Milan’s pass accuracy has improved significantly, and their number of successful dribbles down the wings has increased sharply. Statistics show that AC Milan averages 7.2 successful dribbles per game, ranking fifth in the league. A team adept at ball control and excelling in wing play holds a significant advantage in Serie A.
Fiorentina has been the most disappointing team this season, currently with three draws and three losses, scoring only four goals in the process. They have lost the dark horse charm that saw them finish sixth last season. It is worth noting that last season, Fiorentina scored 60 league goals, averaging 1.57 goals per game. Summer signings Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson, Edin Dzeko, and other forwards have yet to adapt to the team’s tactics, with none of them managing to score in the league so far. Statistics indicate that after six league matches, Fiorentina averages only 2.3 shots on target per game, the second-lowest in the league, and has created just six clear-cut chances, ranking at the bottom. Undoubtedly, their low offensive efficiency is the main reason for their poor results, and manager Stefano Pioli is already under pressure to be dismissed.
Pioli previously achieved great success with AC Milan, winning the 2021-22 Serie A title. Now, in a new environment, he hoped to replicate that magic but has found the situation entirely different. Factors such as the environment, player roster, and club culture have all contributed to vastly different outcomes. His pursuit of attractive football at Fiorentina has struggled to take root. Facing an in-form AC Milan, Fiorentina may be in for a heavy defeat.
AC Milan‘s Last 5 Games: DWWWW
25-10-06 Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
25-09-29 AC Milan 2-1 Napoli
25-09-24 AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
25-09-21 Udinese 0-3 AC Milan
25-09-15 AC Milan 1-0 Bologna
Fiorentina’s Last 5 Games: LWDLL
25-10-05 Fiorentina 1-2 AS Roma
25-10-03 Fiorentina 2-0 SK Sigma Olomouc
25-09-28 Pisa 0-0 Fiorentina
25-09-22 Fiorentina 1-2 Como 1907
25-09-14 Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli
Head-To-Head Record
25-04-06 AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina
24-10-07 Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
24-03-31 Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
23-11-26 AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina
23-03-05 Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Prediction: AC Milan to win